The following is a simple exercise to look at next year's Heisman race, borrowing only from Heismandment No. 7:
7. If you are a quarterback or running back at the following schools, you have a good chance to win if you have a very good statistical season, are an upperclassmen and your team wins at least 9 games: Notre Dame, USC, Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Ohio State, Michigan, Miami and Florida State. These 9 teams have won 10 of the last 13 Heismans and six of the last seven.Well, if that holds like it did last year, here are the candidates who can win the Heisman from those schools:
- Notre Dame---Brady Quinn
- USC---Matt Leinart, Reggie Bush, LenDale White
- Texas---Vincent Young, Selvin Young
- Oklahoma---Paul Thompson
- Nebraska---Joe Dailey, Cory Ross
- Ohio State---Troy Smith, Justin Zwick
- Miami---Tyrone Moss
- Florida State---Wyatt Sexton, Leon Washington, Lorenzo Booker
It is very likely one of these 15 athletes will win the 2005 Heisman Trophy. Scary, but true.
Sure enough, USC's Reggie Bush won the 2005 Heisman Trophy, Texas' Vince Young was the runner-up, and Matt Leinart and Brady Quinn rounded out the top four.
As an aside, of the schools credited with a Heisman trophy in the last
14 years, the only ones not in Pundit's list are Wisconsin,
Colorado and Florida.
It is interesting Pundit chose 14 years, because that is the break right after a two-year run by statmasters Andre Ware and Ty Detmer. Soon after, a Heisman backlash appears to have occurred, cutting short campaigns by gimmick offense generals such as Drew Brees and Kliff Kingsbury. In that regard the cutoff is natural and understandable, an intelligent recognition of modern Heisman voting patterns.