Reader Jack Murak GETS IT in a post on our comments forum.
He echoes many of the structural elements of arguments I've made, and explains why Georgia will win (if it wins).
The argument---"Familiarity" matters. Look at USC. Pac-10 foes have consistently given them more trouble the last three years than big-name out of conference opponents have. The Pac-10 is much more familiar with what USC does and can adjust accordingly.
Georgia will have an incredibly difficult time catching up to what Boise is doing on the field. Its not that what Boise is doing is complicated, but that its unfamiliar and highly successful. Boise is going to score a bunch of points this game, you can almost count on it.
Thing is, there are only a few factors in Georgia's favor: talent and homefield advantage.
As I said over and over again long ago on here, the talent gap between these teams will determine the outcome. Georgia fans basically have to hope their team is so far out ahead of Boise that they can overcome Boise's impressive scheme to win this game. Playing at home, with the fans and the weather will also be contributing factors.
That said, I still strongly believe Boise State wins this game (Jack says Georgia). We already know WHY.
But if they don't, you'll also have known well ahead of time WHY.
At least some of us grasp the fundamental principles behind the arguments made, though, and aren't just spouting blather with little significance to the game.